claims loss trend lab · trend matrix
trend. reserve. reopen.

Trend shifts stay tied to operational action.

This route turns raw statistical deltas into program-specific review guidance teams can use for reserve committees and carrier evidence packets.

CL-11

Commercial auto

Loss ratio moved from 71% to 79% with reopen rate at 4.1%.

Increase adjuster review cadence and validate reserve assumptions before quarter close.

CL-18

Property catastrophe

Loss ratio moved from 84% to 96% with reopen rate at 6.9%.

Escalate reserve review, tighten vendor evidence, and re-forecast severity immediately.

CL-24

Group disability

Loss ratio moved from 67% to 74% with reopen rate at 5.2%.

Increase adjuster review cadence and validate reserve assumptions before quarter close.

CL-31

Cyber liability

Loss ratio moved from 73% to 88% with reopen rate at 7.4%.

Escalate reserve review, tighten vendor evidence, and re-forecast severity immediately.